Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.243404 0.274841 0.308201 0.346175 0.388140 0.433033 0.484625
2025-08-17 0.198957 0.240930 0.288135 0.344938 0.411202 0.485822 0.575960
2025-08-24 0.167748 0.215913 0.272870 0.344721 0.432429 0.535466 0.665080
2025-08-31 0.143763 0.195544 0.259597 0.343849 0.450848 0.581221 0.750990
2025-09-07 0.128139 0.183151 0.253987 0.350655 0.477724 0.637494 0.851761
2025-09-14 0.113083 0.169390 0.244678 0.350995 0.495241 0.681868 0.938895
2025-09-21 0.100727 0.157675 0.236543 0.351486 0.512016 0.725162 1.025810
2025-09-28 0.090423 0.147571 0.229380 0.352167 0.528297 0.767772 1.112981
2025-10-05 0.082874 0.140602 0.225806 0.357184 0.550274 0.818490 1.212739
2025-10-12 0.077452 0.136224 0.225454 0.366479 0.578377 0.878464 1.327348
2025-10-19 0.071295 0.129983 0.221619 0.370009 0.597839 0.926604 1.426771
2025-10-26 0.066653 0.125694 0.220327 0.377065 0.622547 0.982932 1.539713
2025-11-02 0.062842 0.122632 0.221027 0.387717 0.653998 1.051619 1.675310
2025-11-09 0.056936 0.115315 0.214166 0.385730 0.665630 1.091181 1.769429
2025-11-16 0.051931 0.109060 0.208502 0.385154 0.679214 1.134001 1.869868
2025-11-23 0.047370 0.103114 0.202819 0.384012 0.691576 1.175164 1.969057
2025-11-30 0.044587 0.100243 0.202245 0.391401 0.718075 1.239220 2.105709
2025-12-07 0.041044 0.095483 0.197844 0.391720 0.732606 1.284647 2.214586
2025-12-14 0.037870 0.091113 0.193766 0.392231 0.747289 1.330639 2.325706
2025-12-21 0.035024 0.087100 0.190001 0.392964 0.762209 1.377356 2.439346
2025-12-28 0.032987 0.084596 0.188910 0.398472 0.785605 1.438748 2.578669
2026-01-04 0.031623 0.083423 0.190319 0.408685 0.817717 1.515715 2.745896
2026-01-11 0.029695 0.080757 0.188504 0.412562 0.838477 1.574090 2.883997